{"id":23658,"date":"2026-10-13T17:13:00","date_gmt":"2026-10-13T17:13:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/tradeit.gg\/blog\/?p=23658"},"modified":"2026-11-03T10:08:20","modified_gmt":"2026-11-03T10:08:20","slug":"probabilidades-de-casos-cs2-casos-pacotes-de-lembrancas-e-capsulas-de-adesivos","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/tradeit.gg\/blog\/pt\/chances-caixas-cs2\/","title":{"rendered":"Chances das Caixas do CS2: Facas, Luvas e Skins"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<div class=\"ti-article ti-audit-standard ti-ptbr-localized ti-case-odds-refresh\" lang=\"pt-BR\">\n<div class=\"ti-answer-card wp-block-group\"><p>Na maioria das vezes, abrir uma caixa do CS2 resulta em uma skin azul. As probabilidades arredondadas s\u00e3o <strong>79,92% para Mil-Spec<\/strong>, <strong>15,98% para Restricted<\/strong>, <strong>3,20% para Classified<\/strong>, <strong>0,64% para Covert<\/strong> e <strong>0,26% para um item especial raro<\/strong>, como uma faca ou luva, dependendo da caixa.<\/p><p>O resultado dourado corresponde, em m\u00e9dia, a cerca de uma abertura a cada 385. Em caixas com facas eleg\u00edveis ao StatTrak, a chance conjunta de uma faca StatTrak fica em aproximadamente <strong>0,026%<\/strong>, ou uma em 3.850. Luvas n\u00e3o t\u00eam vers\u00e3o StatTrak.<\/p><\/div><style>\n\/* Shared Tradeit article style for rows 197 to 201. 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.ti-faq-item>h3{margin:0 0 10px;padding:0;background:transparent;border:0;color:#1f2130}\n.ti-audit-standard .ti-faq-item .ti-faq-answer{padding:0;color:#514e61}\n.ti-audit-standard .table-wrapper,.ti-audit-standard .wp-block-table{min-width:0;max-width:100%;overflow-x:auto;-webkit-overflow-scrolling:touch}\n.ti-audit-standard img{max-width:100%;height:auto}\n@media(max-width:767px){.ti-audit-standard{font-size:16px;line-height:1.62}.ti-audit-standard h2{margin-top:2.6em;padding-left:16px;font-size:clamp(1.45rem,7vw,1.82rem)}.ti-audit-standard h2::before{width:5px}.ti-audit-standard details>summary{min-height:56px;padding:15px 46px 15px 16px!important}.ti-audit-standard details>summary::after{right:15px}.ti-audit-standard details>p,.ti-audit-standard details>.ti-faq-answer,.ti-audit-standard details>.wp-block-group{padding:0 16px 15px}}\n<\/style>\n<h2 id='probabilidades-dos-itens-cosm\u00e9ticos-do-cs2'  id=\"boomdevs_1\" id=\"probabilidades-dos-itens-cosmeticos-do-cs2\">Probabilidades dos itens cosm\u00e9ticos do CS2<\/h2>\n<div class=\"ti-table-scroll ti-table-wrap table-wrapper\"><div class=\"table-wrapper\"><table class=\"ti-pt-table ti-table\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th scope=\"col\">Raridade<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Cor<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Probabilidade oficial<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Frequ\u00eancia aproximada<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Mil-Spec<\/td>\n<td>Azul<\/td>\n<td>79,92%<\/td>\n<td>Cerca de 1 em 1,25<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Restrito (Restricted)<\/td>\n<td>Roxo<\/td>\n<td>15,98%<\/td>\n<td>Cerca de 1 em 6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Classificado (Classified)<\/td>\n<td>Rosa<\/td>\n<td>3,20%<\/td>\n<td>Cerca de 1 em 31<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Secreto (Covert)<\/td>\n<td>Vermelho<\/td>\n<td>0,64%<\/td>\n<td>Cerca de 1 em 156<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Item especial extremamente raro<\/td>\n<td>Dourado<\/td>\n<td>0,26%<\/td>\n<td>Cerca de 1 em 385<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table><\/div><\/div>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Chances de raridade das caixas do CS2, de 79,92% para azul a 0,26% para dourado\" data-ptbr-asset=\"chances-raridade-caixas-cs2-ptbr.png\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"{{UPLOAD_PTBR_IMAGE_URL_chances-raridade-caixas-cs2-ptbr.png}}\"\/><figcaption>Distribui\u00e7\u00e3o das chances de raridade de itens nas caixas do CS2<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>As chances s\u00e3o calculadas para cada abertura, de forma independente. O percentual de 0,26% \u00e9 um arredondamento. Na divulga\u00e7\u00e3o da Perfect World, aparecem os valores mais detalhados de 79,923% (azul), 15,985% (roxo), 3,197% (rosa), 0,639% (vermelho) e 0,256% (dourado). Com 0,256%, a m\u00e9dia \u00e9 de cerca de uma em 391, e n\u00e3o uma em 385.<\/p>\n<p>Conseguir uma raridade n\u00e3o garante uma skin espec\u00edfica. Itens do mesmo n\u00edvel de raridade e da mesma caixa t\u00eam a mesma chance b\u00e1sica de sele\u00e7\u00e3o. Se houver duas skins vermelhas, elas dividem a probabilidade daquela faixa. Desgaste, padr\u00e3o e StatTrak tornam um resultado espec\u00edfico ainda mais raro.<\/p>\n<p><strong>O que voc\u00ea precisa saber:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>A chance arredondada de qualquer item especial raro em uma caixa padr\u00e3o \u00e9 de 0,26%.<\/li>\n<li>A vers\u00e3o StatTrak, quando dispon\u00edvel para o item, tem chance condicional de 10%.<\/li>\n<li>Todas as caixas de armas padr\u00e3o seguem a mesma distribui\u00e7\u00e3o de raridades. O conte\u00fado e os pre\u00e7os de mercado variam entre elas.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2 id='por-que-a-valve-divulgou-as-chances-das-caixas'  id=\"boomdevs_2\" id=\"por-que-a-valve-divulgou-as-chances-das-caixas\">Por que a Valve divulgou as chances das caixas?<\/h2>\n<p>As probabilidades das caixas de CS:GO se tornaram p\u00fablicas em 2017 por meio da Perfect World, parceira da Valve na China, devido a regras locais para recompensas pagas e aleat\u00f3rias. Entre as raridades comuns, a chance cai aproximadamente cinco vezes a cada n\u00edvel superior. O dourado tem um peso pr\u00f3prio.<\/p>\n<p>A regra de uma vers\u00e3o StatTrak a cada dez resultados eleg\u00edveis tamb\u00e9m \u00e9 uma probabilidade, n\u00e3o uma garantia de receber um StatTrak na d\u00e9cima tentativa. Um streamer pode abrir v\u00e1rias skins raras em sequ\u00eancia, ou nenhuma em muitas tentativas, sem que isso mude a distribui\u00e7\u00e3o do jogo.<\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-group ti-callout\"><p><strong>Importante:<\/strong> as porcentagens n\u00e3o prometem uma quantidade fixa de recompensas para sua conta. Ficar muito tempo sem tirar uma faca n\u00e3o garante que a pr\u00f3xima caixa ser\u00e1 premiada.<\/p><\/div>\n<h2 id='chances-de-conseguir-facas-e-luvas'  id=\"boomdevs_3\" id=\"chances-de-conseguir-facas-e-luvas\">Chances de conseguir facas e luvas<\/h2>\n<h3 id='chance-de-tirar-uma-faca-0-26'  id=\"boomdevs_4\" id=\"chance-de-tirar-uma-faca-0-26\">Chance de tirar uma faca: 0,26%<\/h3>\n<p>Em uma caixa cujo item especial raro \u00e9 uma faca, chegar \u00e0 raridade dourada significa receber uma faca. A chance arredondada \u00e9 de 0,26%, cerca de uma em 385 aberturas, em m\u00e9dia. Conseguir um modelo espec\u00edfico, em Factory New e com um padr\u00e3o desejado, \u00e9 muito mais dif\u00edcil.<\/p><p>A probabilidade de 0,26% \u00e9 a chance aproximada de alcan\u00e7ar a categoria dourada em uma caixa de armas padr\u00e3o. Ela n\u00e3o \u00e9 a chance de conseguir uma faca espec\u00edfica em Factory New, com determinado acabamento ou padr\u00e3o. Para isso, ainda entram na conta o modelo dispon\u00edvel na caixa, o acabamento, o desgaste e o pattern.<\/p><p>Abrir 384 caixas sem conseguir uma faca n\u00e3o aumenta a chance na pr\u00f3xima tentativa. Cada abertura \u00e9 independente. Da mesma forma, tirar uma faca n\u00e3o reduz a probabilidade de obter outro item dourado na abertura seguinte.<\/p>\n<p>Mesmo que voc\u00ea abra 384 caixas sem conseguir uma faca, a pr\u00f3xima abertura continua com a mesma chance. Da mesma forma, tirar uma faca agora n\u00e3o diminui a probabilidade de vir outra na tentativa seguinte.<\/p>\n<p>Cada caixa tamb\u00e9m tem seu conjunto pr\u00f3prio de facas. Algumas oferecem Karambit; outras, Butterfly Knife. Trocar de caixa muda os modelos dispon\u00edveis, mas n\u00e3o aumenta a probabilidade geral de um resultado dourado.<\/p>\n<h3 id='chance-de-tirar-uma-faca-stattrak-cerca-de-0-026'  id=\"boomdevs_5\" id=\"chance-de-tirar-uma-faca-stattrak-cerca-de-0-026\">Chance de tirar uma faca StatTrak: cerca de 0,026%<\/h3>\n<p>A condi\u00e7\u00e3o de StatTrak se aplica depois de considerar os itens eleg\u00edveis. Multiplicando a chance arredondada de dourado (0,26%) por 10%, chegamos a <strong>0,026%<\/strong>, aproximadamente uma faca StatTrak a cada 3.850 tentativas, em m\u00e9dia. Isso n\u00e3o significa uma faca a cada dez caixas.<\/p>\n<h3 id='caixas-de-luvas-e-dead-hand-terminal'  id=\"boomdevs_6\" id=\"caixas-de-luvas-e-dead-hand-terminal\">Caixas de luvas e Dead Hand Terminal<\/h3>\n<p>Em caixas que oferecem luvas como item especial raro, o dourado representa uma luva, n\u00e3o uma faca. Isso n\u00e3o significa que uma luva espec\u00edfica tenha 0,26% de chance: h\u00e1 v\u00e1rios modelos e acabamentos dentro do mesmo grupo.<\/p>\n<p>O <strong>Dead Hand Terminal<\/strong> n\u00e3o \u00e9 uma caixa tradicional aberta com chave. A Valve o lan\u00e7ou com 17 acabamentos de armas e 22 luvas novas, disponibilizando o terminal nos Weekly Care Packages. A Perfect World o inclui nas probabilidades divulgadas para essa categoria: 0,256% para item especial raro, geralmente arredondado para 0,26%.<\/p>\n<p>Se voc\u00ea deseja uma faca ou luva espec\u00edfica, comprar ou trocar diretamente permite escolher o modelo e o acabamento, em vez de depender de um resultado aleat\u00f3rio.<\/p>\n<h2 id='chances-dos-pacotes-souvenir-e-das-caixas-de-armas'  id=\"boomdevs_7\" id=\"chances-dos-pacotes-souvenir-e-das-caixas-de-armas\">Chances dos pacotes Souvenir e das caixas de armas<\/h2>\n<p>Os pacotes Souvenir n\u00e3o t\u00eam uma categoria dourada de facas ou luvas, e seus itens n\u00e3o podem ser StatTrak. As probabilidades tamb\u00e9m dependem de quantos n\u00edveis de raridade existem na cole\u00e7\u00e3o.<\/p>\n<p>Para um pacote Souvenir de Major com seis n\u00edveis, de Consumer Grade at\u00e9 Covert, a distribui\u00e7\u00e3o publicada \u00e9:<\/p>\n<div class=\"ti-table-scroll ti-table-wrap table-wrapper\"><div class=\"table-wrapper\"><table class=\"ti-pt-table ti-table\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th scope=\"col\">Raridade do Souvenir<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Probabilidade divulgada<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Comum (Consumer Grade)<\/td>\n<td>79,872%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Industrial (Industrial Grade)<\/td>\n<td>15,974%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Mil-Spec<\/td>\n<td>3,328%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Restrito (Restricted)<\/td>\n<td>0,666%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Classificado (Classified)<\/td>\n<td>0,133%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Secreto (Covert)<\/td>\n<td>0,027%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table><\/div><\/div>\n<p>Se o pacote tiver cinco n\u00edveis, esses percentuais n\u00e3o se aplicam. Confira a quantidade de raridades antes de comparar a chance de receber a skin mais rara.<\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-group ti-callout\"><p><strong>O tipo de cont\u00eainer importa:<\/strong> Antes de comparar porcentagens, veja quais itens podem sair. Um adesivo dourado e uma faca podem ser o pr\u00eamio mais raro de suas respectivas aberturas, mas n\u00e3o s\u00e3o a mesma recompensa.<\/p><\/div><h2 id='probabilidades-das-c\u00e1psulas-de-adesivos'  id=\"boomdevs_8\" id=\"probabilidades-das-capsulas-de-adesivos\">Probabilidades das c\u00e1psulas de adesivos<\/h2>\n<p>Uma c\u00e1psula com quatro n\u00edveis de raridade come\u00e7a em High Grade e passa por Remarkable e Exotic at\u00e9 Extraordinary. A distribui\u00e7\u00e3o divulgada \u00e9:<\/p>\n<div class=\"ti-table-scroll ti-table-wrap table-wrapper\"><div class=\"table-wrapper\"><table class=\"ti-pt-table ti-table\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th scope=\"col\">Raridade do adesivo<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Probabilidade divulgada<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Alta qualidade (High Grade)<\/td>\n<td>80,128%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Not\u00e1vel (Remarkable)<\/td>\n<td>16,026%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Ex\u00f3tico (Exotic)<\/td>\n<td>3,205%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Extraordin\u00e1rio (Extraordinary)<\/td>\n<td>0,641%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table><\/div><\/div>\n<p>Adesivos comuns, glitter, holo e dourados s\u00e3o exemplos conhecidos de c\u00e1psulas de Major. Algumas c\u00e1psulas antigas t\u00eam menos categorias. Nesse caso, n\u00e3o use a tabela de quatro n\u00edveis sem conferir os itens dispon\u00edveis.<\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-group ti-callout\"><p><strong>Aten\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e0s regi\u00f5es:<\/strong> A disponibilidade de caixas, terminais e telas de abertura pode variar conforme a regi\u00e3o. Uma interface diferente n\u00e3o significa probabilidades melhores.<\/p><\/div><h2 id='chances-no-arsenal-e-em-cont\u00eaineres-especiais'  id=\"boomdevs_9\" id=\"chances-no-arsenal-e-em-conteineres-especiais\">Chances no Arsenal e em cont\u00eaineres especiais<\/h2>\n<p>Resgatar uma cole\u00e7\u00e3o no Arsenal n\u00e3o segue a distribui\u00e7\u00e3o das caixas tradicionais. Para cole\u00e7\u00f5es de armas com cinco n\u00edveis, como Graphic Design e Overpass 2024, as probabilidades divulgadas s\u00e3o:<\/p>\n<div class=\"ti-table-scroll ti-table-wrap table-wrapper\"><div class=\"table-wrapper\"><table class=\"ti-pt-table ti-table\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th scope=\"col\">Raridade da cole\u00e7\u00e3o do Arsenal<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Probabilidade divulgada<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Industrial (Industrial Grade)<\/td>\n<td>80,026%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Mil-Spec<\/td>\n<td>16,005%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Restrito (Restricted)<\/td>\n<td>3,201%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Classificado (Classified)<\/td>\n<td>0,640%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Secreto (Covert)<\/td>\n<td>0,128%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table><\/div><\/div>\n<p>Assim, uma skin Covert do Arsenal tem chance de 0,128%, mas isso n\u00e3o corresponde ao resultado dourado de uma caixa de facas ou luvas.<\/p>\n<p>Cole\u00e7\u00f5es de adesivos e pingentes do Arsenal com quatro raridades usam 80,128%, 16,026%, 3,205% e 0,641%. J\u00e1 o Genesis tem quatro n\u00edveis de skins: Mil-Spec (80,128%), Restricted (16,026%), Classified (3,205%) e Covert (0,641%), sem pr\u00eamio dourado.<\/p>\n<p>Antes de comparar porcentagens, confira o tipo de cont\u00eainer. Uma skin de alto n\u00edvel e uma faca podem ser os melhores pr\u00eamios de suas respectivas categorias, mas usam tabelas diferentes.<\/p>\n<h2 id='como-as-probabilidades-das-caixas-realmente-funcionam'  id=\"boomdevs_10\" id=\"como-as-probabilidades-das-caixas-realmente-funcionam\">Como as probabilidades das caixas realmente funcionam<\/h2>\n<h3 id='a-anima\u00e7\u00e3o-n\u00e3o-\u00e9-uma-roleta-control\u00e1vel'  id=\"boomdevs_11\" id=\"a-animacao-nao-e-uma-roleta-controlavel\">A anima\u00e7\u00e3o n\u00e3o \u00e9 uma roleta control\u00e1vel<\/h3>\n<p>Clicar em um momento espec\u00edfico da anima\u00e7\u00e3o n\u00e3o faz a caixa parar na skin desejada. O servidor determina o pr\u00eamio. A divulga\u00e7\u00e3o das probabilidades informa os resultados poss\u00edveis, mas n\u00e3o descreve exatamente em que momento ocorre a escolha interna.<\/p>\n<p>Receber v\u00e1rias skins azuis seguidas n\u00e3o melhora a chance da pr\u00f3xima. N\u00e3o existe uma regra oficial divulgada que garanta um pr\u00eamio depois de certo n\u00famero de tentativas, aumente a sorte de uma conta ou favore\u00e7a determinado hor\u00e1rio.<\/p>\n<p>O Prime altera recursos da conta, como XP, Premier e Weekly Care Packages. Ele <strong>n\u00e3o aumenta<\/strong> a chance de uma skin vermelha ou de um item dourado dentro de uma caixa.<\/p>\n<h3 id='o-que-significa-a-chance-de-1-em-385'  id=\"boomdevs_12\" id=\"o-que-significa-a-chance-de-1-em-385\">O que significa a chance de 1 em 385?<\/h3>\n<p>O jogo n\u00e3o est\u00e1 contando 385 aberturas para entregar uma faca. Esse n\u00famero vem do c\u00e1lculo <code>1 \u00f7 0,0026<\/code>. Ao abrir v\u00e1rias caixas, voc\u00ea pode calcular a probabilidade de conseguir pelo menos um resultado dourado, mas cada tentativa continua independente.<\/p>\n<div class=\"ti-table-scroll ti-table-wrap table-wrapper\"><div class=\"table-wrapper\"><table class=\"ti-pt-table ti-table\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th scope=\"col\">Aberturas independentes<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Chance de ao menos um item dourado<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Chance de nenhum item dourado<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>10<\/td>\n<td>Cerca de 2,57%<\/td>\n<td>Cerca de 97,43%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>100<\/td>\n<td>Cerca de 22,92%<\/td>\n<td>Cerca de 77,08%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>385<\/td>\n<td>Cerca de 63,30%<\/td>\n<td>Cerca de 36,70%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table><\/div><\/div>\n<p>Mesmo ap\u00f3s 385 aberturas, ainda existe aproximadamente <strong>36,7% de chance<\/strong> de n\u00e3o ter recebido nenhum item dourado. A pr\u00f3xima caixa continua com probabilidade de 0,26%, independentemente das anteriores.<\/p>\n<h3 id='as-chances-combinadas-ficam-muito-menores'  id=\"boomdevs_13\" id=\"as-chances-combinadas-ficam-muito-menores\">As chances combinadas ficam muito menores<\/h3>\n<p>Dois resultados dourados consecutivos t\u00eam chance de <code>0,26% \u00d7 0,26%<\/code>, ou <strong>0,000676%<\/strong>, cerca de uma sequ\u00eancia em 147.929. Para uma faca StatTrak, a chance conjunta arredondada \u00e9 de 0,026%. Exigir determinado padr\u00e3o, acabamento ou desgaste reduz ainda mais a chance.<\/p>\n<h3 id='probabilidade-n\u00e3o-\u00e9-o-mesmo-que-retorno-financeiro'  id=\"boomdevs_14\" id=\"probabilidade-nao-e-o-mesmo-que-retorno-financeiro\">Probabilidade n\u00e3o \u00e9 o mesmo que retorno financeiro<\/h3>\n<p>Se o pre\u00e7o da caixa subir, mas as skins dentro dela mantiverem o mesmo valor, o retorno esperado piora. Para calcular o valor m\u00e9dio, \u00e9 necess\u00e1rio considerar a caixa, a chave e os pre\u00e7os reais de venda de todos os resultados poss\u00edveis, incluindo desgaste, StatTrak e padr\u00f5es valorizados.<\/p>\n<p>Duas caixas podem ter chances iguais por raridade e retornos muito diferentes. Abrir uma caixa que cont\u00e9m skins desejadas n\u00e3o significa que a abertura seja lucrativa.<\/p>\n<h3 id='mitos-comuns-sobre-as-chances-nas-caixas'  id=\"boomdevs_15\" id=\"mitos-comuns-sobre-as-chances-nas-caixas\">Mitos comuns sobre as chances nas caixas<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u201cJ\u00e1 est\u00e1 na hora de vir uma faca.\u201d<\/strong> N\u00e3o. As tentativas anteriores n\u00e3o alteram a chance seguinte.<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u201cAbrir em determinado hor\u00e1rio d\u00e1 mais sorte.\u201d<\/strong> N\u00e3o h\u00e1 regra publicada que confirme isso.<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u201cPrime melhora as chances.\u201d<\/strong> N\u00e3o. Ele muda o acesso aos recursos, n\u00e3o os percentuais das caixas.<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u201cAlgumas caixas t\u00eam mais chances de faca.\u201d<\/strong> Caixas de armas padr\u00e3o seguem a mesma chance para a raridade dourada, embora os modelos e valores mudem.<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u201cUma faca \u00e9 garantida em 385 aberturas.\u201d<\/strong> N\u00e3o. Trata-se de uma m\u00e9dia estat\u00edstica, n\u00e3o de uma garantia.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2 id='perguntas-frequentes'  id=\"boomdevs_16\" id=\"perguntas-frequentes\">Perguntas frequentes<\/h2><script class=\"ti-faq-schema-ptbr\" type=\"application\/ld+json\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@type\":\"FAQPage\",\"inLanguage\":\"pt-BR\",\"mainEntity\":[{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"D\u00e1 para influenciar o resultado pelo momento da anima\u00e7\u00e3o?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"N\u00e3o. O momento de clicar na anima\u00e7\u00e3o n\u00e3o permite escolher a recompensa. A divulga\u00e7\u00e3o oficial tamb\u00e9m n\u00e3o especifica quando o servidor gera o item.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"Quais s\u00e3o as chances exatas divulgadas para as caixas do CS2?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"A Perfect World informa 79,923% para Mil-Spec, 15,985% para Restricted, 3,197% para Classified, 0,639% para Covert e 0,256% para um item especial raro. A vers\u00e3o arredondada costuma ser 79,92%, 15,98%, 3,20%, 0,64% e 0,26%.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"Qual \u00e9 a chance de tirar faca ou luvas?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"Uma caixa de armas padr\u00e3o tem 0,26% de chance arredondada de resultado dourado, cerca de uma em 385. O pr\u00eamio ser uma faca ou luva depende da caixa.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"Todas as caixas do CS2 t\u00eam as mesmas chances?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"As caixas de armas padr\u00e3o usam a mesma distribui\u00e7\u00e3o de raridades, mas t\u00eam skins diferentes. Pacotes Souvenir, cole\u00e7\u00f5es do Arsenal e terminais espec\u00edficos seguem distribui\u00e7\u00f5es pr\u00f3prias.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"As probabilidades dos pacotes Souvenir s\u00e3o diferentes?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"Sim. \u00c9 preciso conferir quantos n\u00edveis de raridade h\u00e1 no pacote. Com seis n\u00edveis, a chance divulgada para Covert \u00e9 0,027%, sem categoria dourada adicional.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"C\u00e1psulas de adesivos t\u00eam chances diferentes das caixas?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"Sim. Uma c\u00e1psula com quatro raridades oferece 80,128% para High Grade, 16,026% para Remarkable, 3,205% para Exotic e 0,641% para Extraordinary. C\u00e1psulas com menos n\u00edveis precisam de outra distribui\u00e7\u00e3o.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"Existe uma chave StatTrak que melhora as chances?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"N\u00e3o. N\u00e3o existe chave que aumente a chance de StatTrak. Para itens eleg\u00edveis, a condi\u00e7\u00e3o de StatTrak \u00e9 de 10%. Combinada \u00e0 chance de dourado, isso resulta em cerca de 0,026% para uma faca StatTrak.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"Contas Prime recebem itens melhores nas caixas?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"N\u00e3o. O Prime altera recursos e recompensas dispon\u00edveis, mas n\u00e3o melhora as chances dentro das caixas.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"\u00c9 poss\u00edvel ganhar caixas jogando CS2?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"Jogadores Prime podem receber Weekly Care Packages ao progredir no jogo, e alguns cont\u00eaineres podem aparecer entre as recompensas. Isso n\u00e3o muda as chances do conte\u00fado quando a caixa for aberta.\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"Qual \u00e9 a chance de tirar dois itens dourados seguidos?\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"Considerando 0,26% em cada abertura, a chance \u00e9 de 0,000676%, aproximadamente uma sequ\u00eancia em 147.929 tentativas de duas aberturas. Se o primeiro resultado j\u00e1 foi dourado, o segundo continua com 0,26%.\"}}]}<\/script><div class=\"ti-faq\"><div class=\"wp-block-group ti-faq-item\"><h3 id='d\u00e1-para-influenciar-o-resultado-pelo-momento-da-anima\u00e7\u00e3o'  id=\"boomdevs_17\" id=\"da-para-influenciar-o-resultado-pelo-momento-da-animacao\">D\u00e1 para influenciar o resultado pelo momento da anima\u00e7\u00e3o?<\/h3><div class=\"wp-block-group ti-faq-answer\"><p>N\u00e3o. O momento de clicar na anima\u00e7\u00e3o n\u00e3o permite escolher a recompensa. A divulga\u00e7\u00e3o oficial tamb\u00e9m n\u00e3o especifica quando o servidor gera o item.<\/p><\/div><\/div><div class=\"wp-block-group ti-faq-item\"><h3 id='quais-s\u00e3o-as-chances-exatas-divulgadas-para-as-caixas-do-cs2'  id=\"boomdevs_18\" id=\"quais-sao-as-chances-exatas-divulgadas-para-as-caixas-do-cs2\">Quais s\u00e3o as chances exatas divulgadas para as caixas do CS2?<\/h3><div class=\"wp-block-group ti-faq-answer\"><p>A Perfect World informa 79,923% para Mil-Spec, 15,985% para Restricted, 3,197% para Classified, 0,639% para Covert e 0,256% para um item especial raro. A vers\u00e3o arredondada costuma ser 79,92%, 15,98%, 3,20%, 0,64% e 0,26%.<\/p><\/div><\/div><div class=\"wp-block-group ti-faq-item\"><h3 id='qual-\u00e9-a-chance-de-tirar-faca-ou-luvas'  id=\"boomdevs_19\" id=\"qual-e-a-chance-de-tirar-faca-ou-luvas\">Qual \u00e9 a chance de tirar faca ou luvas?<\/h3><div class=\"wp-block-group ti-faq-answer\"><p>Uma caixa de armas padr\u00e3o tem 0,26% de chance arredondada de resultado dourado, cerca de uma em 385. O pr\u00eamio ser uma faca ou luva depende da caixa.<\/p><\/div><\/div><div class=\"wp-block-group ti-faq-item\"><h3 id='todas-as-caixas-do-cs2-t\u00eam-as-mesmas-chances'  id=\"boomdevs_20\" id=\"todas-as-caixas-do-cs2-tem-as-mesmas-chances\">Todas as caixas do CS2 t\u00eam as mesmas chances?<\/h3><div class=\"wp-block-group ti-faq-answer\"><p>As caixas de armas padr\u00e3o usam a mesma distribui\u00e7\u00e3o de raridades, mas t\u00eam skins diferentes. Pacotes Souvenir, cole\u00e7\u00f5es do Arsenal e terminais espec\u00edficos seguem distribui\u00e7\u00f5es pr\u00f3prias.<\/p><\/div><\/div><div class=\"wp-block-group ti-faq-item\"><h3 id='as-probabilidades-dos-pacotes-souvenir-s\u00e3o-diferentes'  id=\"boomdevs_21\" id=\"as-probabilidades-dos-pacotes-souvenir-sao-diferentes\">As probabilidades dos pacotes Souvenir s\u00e3o diferentes?<\/h3><div class=\"wp-block-group ti-faq-answer\"><p>Sim. \u00c9 preciso conferir quantos n\u00edveis de raridade h\u00e1 no pacote. Com seis n\u00edveis, a chance divulgada para Covert \u00e9 0,027%, sem categoria dourada adicional.<\/p><\/div><\/div><div class=\"wp-block-group ti-faq-item\"><h3 id='c\u00e1psulas-de-adesivos-t\u00eam-chances-diferentes-das-caixas'  id=\"boomdevs_22\" id=\"capsulas-de-adesivos-tem-chances-diferentes-das-caixas\">C\u00e1psulas de adesivos t\u00eam chances diferentes das caixas?<\/h3><div class=\"wp-block-group ti-faq-answer\"><p>Sim. Uma c\u00e1psula com quatro raridades oferece 80,128% para High Grade, 16,026% para Remarkable, 3,205% para Exotic e 0,641% para Extraordinary. C\u00e1psulas com menos n\u00edveis precisam de outra distribui\u00e7\u00e3o.<\/p><\/div><\/div><div class=\"wp-block-group ti-faq-item\"><h3 id='existe-uma-chave-stattrak-que-melhora-as-chances'  id=\"boomdevs_23\" id=\"existe-uma-chave-stattrak-que-melhora-as-chances\">Existe uma chave StatTrak que melhora as chances?<\/h3><div class=\"wp-block-group ti-faq-answer\"><p>N\u00e3o. N\u00e3o existe chave que aumente a chance de StatTrak. Para itens eleg\u00edveis, a condi\u00e7\u00e3o de StatTrak \u00e9 de 10%. Combinada \u00e0 chance de dourado, isso resulta em cerca de 0,026% para uma faca StatTrak.<\/p><\/div><\/div><div class=\"wp-block-group ti-faq-item\"><h3 id='contas-prime-recebem-itens-melhores-nas-caixas'  id=\"boomdevs_24\" id=\"contas-prime-recebem-itens-melhores-nas-caixas\">Contas Prime recebem itens melhores nas caixas?<\/h3><div class=\"wp-block-group ti-faq-answer\"><p>N\u00e3o. O Prime altera recursos e recompensas dispon\u00edveis, mas n\u00e3o melhora as chances dentro das caixas.<\/p><\/div><\/div><div class=\"wp-block-group ti-faq-item\"><h3 id='\u00e9-poss\u00edvel-ganhar-caixas-jogando-cs2'  id=\"boomdevs_25\" id=\"e-possivel-ganhar-caixas-jogando-cs2\">\u00c9 poss\u00edvel ganhar caixas jogando CS2?<\/h3><div class=\"wp-block-group ti-faq-answer\"><p>Jogadores Prime podem receber Weekly Care Packages ao progredir no jogo, e alguns cont\u00eaineres podem aparecer entre as recompensas. Isso n\u00e3o muda as chances do conte\u00fado quando a caixa for aberta.<\/p><\/div><\/div><div class=\"wp-block-group ti-faq-item\"><h3 id='qual-\u00e9-a-chance-de-tirar-dois-itens-dourados-seguidos'  id=\"boomdevs_26\" id=\"qual-e-a-chance-de-tirar-dois-itens-dourados-seguidos\">Qual \u00e9 a chance de tirar dois itens dourados seguidos?<\/h3><div class=\"wp-block-group ti-faq-answer\"><p>Considerando 0,26% em cada abertura, a chance \u00e9 de 0,000676%, aproximadamente uma sequ\u00eancia em 147.929 tentativas de duas aberturas. Se o primeiro resultado j\u00e1 foi dourado, o segundo continua com 0,26%.<\/p><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Na maioria das vezes, abrir uma caixa do CS2 resulta em uma skin azul. As probabilidades arredondadas s\u00e3o 79,92% para&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":23654,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[484,480,482],"tags":[910,913],"class_list":["post-23658","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cs2","category-guias-cs2","category-skins-de-cs2","tag-casos-de-cs2","tag-probabilidades-do-caso-cs2"],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.3 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Confira as chances reais de tirar skins, facas e luvas nas caixas do CS2, com percentuais, raridades, c\u00e1psulas e pacotes Souvenir.\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Jo\u00e3o A.\"\/>\n\t<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/tradeit.gg\/blog\/pt\/chances-caixas-cs2\/\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"generator\" content=\"All in One SEO Pro (AIOSEO) 5.0.3\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Tradeit.gg Blog | CS2, CS:GO, Rust &amp; TF2\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Chances das Caixas do CS2: Facas, Luvas e Skins\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Confira as chances reais de tirar skins, facas e luvas nas caixas do CS2, com percentuais, raridades, c\u00e1psulas e pacotes Souvenir.\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/tradeit.gg\/blog\/pt\/chances-caixas-cs2\/\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/tradeit.gg\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/CS2-Case-Odds.webp\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:image:secure_url\" content=\"https:\/\/tradeit.gg\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/CS2-Case-Odds.webp\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1920\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1080\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:tag\" content=\"casos de cs2\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:tag\" content=\"probabilidades do caso cs2\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-10-13T17:13:00+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-11-03T10:08:20+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/tradeitgg\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@tradeit_gg\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"Chances das Caixas do CS2: Facas, Luvas e Skins\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"Confira as chances reais de tirar skins, facas e luvas nas caixas do CS2, com percentuais, raridades, c\u00e1psulas e pacotes Souvenir.\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@tradeit_gg\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:image\" content=\"https:\/\/tradeit.gg\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/CS2-Case-Odds.webp\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Jo\u00e3o A.\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"11 minutes\" \/>\n\t\t<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"aioseo-schema\">\n\t\t\t{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"BlogPosting\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/tradeit.gg\\\/blog\\\/pt\\\/chances-caixas-cs2\\\/#blogposting\",\"name\":\"Chances das Caixas do CS2: Facas, Luvas e Skins\",\"headline\":\"Chances das Caixas do CS2: Facas, Luvas e Skins\",\"author\":{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"name\":\"Jo\\u00e3o\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/tradeit.gg\\\/blog\\\/author\\\/joao\\\/\",\"image\":\"https:\\\/\\\/secure.gravatar.com\\\/avatar\\\/367a331b789dfca64f5dd32cf0a5ce23?s=160&d=mm&r=g\",\"description\":\"Meet Jo\\u00e3o, Tradeit\\u2019s Portuguese-language content writer. A gamer by passion and storyteller by trade, he turns his knowledge of games and culture into engaging articles and SEO-friendly guides for Portuguese-speaking players.\",\"jobTitle\":\"Editor\",\"knowsAbout\":[\"CS2 guides\",\"Gaming content\"]},\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/tradeit.gg\\\/blog\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/tradeit.gg\\\/blog\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2023\\\/08\\\/CS2-Case-Odds.webp\",\"width\":1920,\"height\":1080,\"caption\":\"Entenda as probabilidades de estojos CS2 para estojos casuais, c\\u00e1psulas de adesivos e pacotes de lembran\\u00e7as. 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