Odds of Getting a CS:GO Knife – CS:GO Weapon Cases

In CS:GO, you can buy dozens of cases, each containing selections of skins of varying qualities and rarities. Many of these cases can give you, among other things, an exceedingly rare item. Such an item can be a knife skin or a pair of gloves. Some cases contain glove skins, others have knife skins, and others contain both. Kow the odds of getting a CS:GO knife.

Item Rarity in Counter-Strike: Global Offensive`

In CS:GO, rarity is not known precisely, but it’s been estimated through experience, and most players will agree that the percentages are the ones listed below.

When you open a case, you have a chance to unbox each item included in it. There’s a high chance that you will unbox a Mil-Spec skin (79.92%), a smaller chance that you will unbox a Restricted skin (15.98%), and so on until you get to the exceedingly rare skins. The complete list of odds of getting a CS:GO knife looks like this:

  • Mil-Spec (Blue skins): 79.92%
  • Restricted (Purple skins): 15.98%
  • Classified (Pink skins): 3.2%
  • Covert (Red skins): 0.64%
  • Exceedingly Rare (Yellow skins): 0.25%

In each case, the odds of getting the StatTrak version are 10 times lower. On top of that, you must add the float value, which can go from 0 to 1. The most valuable versions of skin are the Factory New ones. People also pay good money for Minimal Wear and Field-Tested arrangements, but the price goes lower and lower. You’ll only get a fraction of the Factory New price for Well-Worn and Battle-Scarred models.

The odds of obtaining a knife skin are roughly 1/400. But that’s the average. You may get a knife after opening just 10 cases, or you may get it after 1000 cases. If you want a knife skin, you could buy it on a skin trading market like Tradeit or the Steam Market.

Types of Knives

In CS:GO, there are many types of knives. If you want to unbox a knife skin for a particular type of knife, you must check which cases contain it. The last thing you want to do is buy a few hundred cases of a type that doesn’t contain the type of knife skin you’re looking for.

Here’s a list of the types of CS:GO knives that exist:

  • Bowie Knife
  • M9 Bayonet
  • Bayonet
  • Shadow Daggers
  • Falchion Knife
  • Nomad Knife
  • Butterfly Knife
  • Gut Knife
  • Flip Knife
  • Karambit
  • Talon Knife
  • Stiletto Knife
  • Navaja Knife
  • Huntsman Knife
  • Ursus Knife
  • Paracord Knife
  • Survival Knife
  • Skeleton Knife
  • Classic Knife

Knife Cases

Almost every case in CS:GO contains knife skins. The only exceptions are the cases that do not contain any exceedingly rare items or contain exclusively glove skins. When you buy a CS:GO case, verify that it contains a yellow item and that the list of possibilities when unboxing such an item includes knife skins. With very few exceptions, it will.

Odds of Getting a CS:GO Knife

How to Obtain a Knife Skin

If you don’t already have a knife skin in your inventory and want to buy one on a skin trading website, you should start by asking yourself: what is my price target? A marketplace will give you many options, but knife skins are generally expensive. Use the price filter to see just the options within your budget. Any site where you can buy or sell skins will contain such a filter.

If you want to unbox a knife skin and don’t care about any other skins, you should buy the cheapest cases that contain the types of knife skins you like and then unbox them. Be prepared to spend at least a few hundred dollars before you find what you want because knife skins are very rare items.